I tend to agree that LP will go forward, and I think EOTE will hold AVON out till SSL gets there.
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1 will lead early
The only horse the leader would hand up to is Stuey
Avon has the speed to keep Stuey wide the whole way
IMO the best chance Avon has of finishing near the winner (or possibly winning) is to go to the pegs
If Avon does go to the pegs the race is wide open & Beau is 7/4+
They r the reasons IMO CM & G'teed are the plays at the current odds.
Sounds like a fair assessment. I don't think Nova will drop to the pegs, he will keep out Stuey and press for the lead. Good luck to all horses and drivers. Personally, I'd like to see Gauranteed or Nova win.
If Beautide led, he would only be going as fast as he had to!.........James Rattray loves to cuddle them when in front!.............I hope he doesn't lead, and think the 1 will lead, and the rest can sort their positions out from their!.........if I was on Avonnova, I would be going to the fence!
Just a reminder.....the race is won at 1609 metres, not 400, not 800, .....on the line... Beautide has too much class for a VERY good field with his alley, if he drew out in the carpark that would mean he would have to work EXTRA hard at SOME stage, from the three.....he's too good, like to be as sure of winning the lottery! no certanties in racing particularly at this level but gee I think the "Tassie Terminator" will do a job on them!
Cheers,
Dan
I think one things for sure, if Stuey doesnt lead, Stuey doesnt win.
And i cant see Nova letting him get past, so is SSL left 3 wide or does the pole horse relent and let Nova cross after a torrid 400m cos EOTE cannot win fullstop. If he tries to lead all the way he will be squashed even worse than last week and be further down the prizemoney winnings than he could be if he immediately took a sit.
EOTE and SSL have different owners so i am sure S W Hoffman the owner of EOTE wouldnt want his horse put up as the bunny in a MM and slaughtered just so a stablemate can get a better chance...
This puts Beau and Christen Me sitting real close by waiting to pounce and of course Guaranteed and lets not forget the "other" horse who has a 1:49.4 to his name For A Reason.
I think Beau has simply been trained to the minute for this race and we will see his best race ever here. Last week he was 3 wide for maybe the first 800 as was Guaranteed and Guaranteed was catching him, not saying he was gonna get him but what a run by both.
Will be a super MM cant wait.
The ones who do no work will fight it out I reckon........I'm backing CM & FAR.
Late scratching TTL, BBB leads throughout in 1:48.6!!!!!