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Thread: Is Vicbred part of the Odds On problem

  1. #1
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    Kevin O'Donoghue
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    Is Vicbred part of the Odds On problem

    If long odds on favs are hurting turnover and the industry - is Vicbred a considerable contributor to this?

    7 of the 12 Semis at Melton tonight had long odds on faves ie < $1.70
    including two $1.10 pops and two $1.04 pops
    (plus there were 3 other odds on favs)

    I looked at the heats they came through and the same applies there
    per un PUGNO di DOLLARI

  2. #2
    aussiebreno
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    Quote Originally Posted by Messenger View Post
    If long odds on favs are hurting turnover and the industry - is Vicbred a considerable contributor to this?

    7 of the 12 Semis at Melton tonight had long odds on faves ie < $1.70
    including two $1.10 pops and two $1.04 pops
    (plus there were 3 other odds on favs)

    I looked at the heats they came through and the same applies there
    Vicbred 0.01% of races per year?

  3. #3
    Senior Member Horse Of The Year arlington will become famous soon enough
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    Changes to the heat programming were partly due to reducing odds on favourites...would be interesting to see how before and after turnover compares.
    Semi finals, as Breno postulated a small price to pay.


    Some early hours altered mind state thinking, inspired by the DM roadshow whiteboard slide, what about scrapping the Super Series and increasing the VOBIS, oops, the first win/s bonus???!!!

  4. #4
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by aussiebreno View Post
    Vicbred 0.01% of races per year?
    I do appreciate that it is a smallish % Breno but .01% would be 3 races
    per un PUGNO di DOLLARI

  5. #5
    Senior Member Horse Of The Year trish will become famous soon enough
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    I think Emma Stewart got 18 in the finals....Soho Tribeca has a foot abscess (hope it blows out) SOHO TRIBECA $10,000 Fr11K N PrenticeK N Prentice $ 1.10 fav GS L 1 CP VXAR SDVETS SWAB & PETACULAR $10,000 Fr44M I StanleyM I Stanley $ 1.04 fav GS L 1 SWAB D/CT SWAB VXAR BLED1NOS SD1T .(bled from one nostril).
    Last edited by trish; 07-01-2017 at 01:49 PM. Reason: added

  6. #6
    Senior Member Stallion Showgrounds is just really nice Showgrounds is just really nice
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    You are going to get hot pots under the current format. For whatever reason, the wise heads at HRV made a decision a couple of years back to compress all of the heats into one week (sometimes, one meeting), conduct all the semi-finals on one meeting and have all the finals on one day. In doing so, NSW Breeders Challenge-eligible horses, many of which could also be VicBred eligible, miss out due to heats or finals being conducted on corresponding dates.

    It's a protectionist policy, the downside being lack of competition. Therefore, too many short priced favourites.

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