Aug update (fini of 14/8)
158 races
80 odds on favs = 50.6%
46 won = 57.5% success rate
Interesting to see in the Big Bets article that only one of the 'misses' was an odds on pop
https://www.thetrots.com.au/news/art...ats-prominent/
Only 2 Odds On pops on tonights 9 race program at Melton
$1.40 and $1.50 both beaten
http://www.harness.org.au/racing/fie...&fromstate=vic
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Aug update (fini of 14/8)
158 races
80 odds on favs = 50.6%
46 won = 57.5% success rate
Interesting to see in the Big Bets article that only one of the 'misses' was an odds on pop
https://www.thetrots.com.au/news/art...ats-prominent/
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A crazy night at Ararat
Kerryn Manning had two $1.20 pops beaten
http://www.harness.org.au/racing/fie...&fromstate=vic
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Aug update (fini of 21/8)
236 races
132 odds on favs = 55.9%
75 won = 56.8% success rate
The number of Odds on pops this last week was huge, resulting in the percentage going up over 5% (it takes some doing when there are already 2 wks to add the figures to)
No doubt the juvenile races and the Stewart stable played a fair part in the swing
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A terrible day for Odds On pops today
We saw a $1.04 pop beaten at Mildura (they are supposed to win 24/25 times)
Then only 1 out of 5 Odds on favourites winning at Melton with a $1.10 and a $1.20 both beaten
http://www.harness.org.au/racing/fie...ic#MLC24081809
http://www.harness.org.au/racing/fie...&fromstate=vic
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5 Odds On favs at Geelong tonight all beaten (including 3 from the Stewart stable) - in fact all 9 favourites beaten
http://www.harness.org.au/racing/fie...&fromstate=vic
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Well that is the end of August, the season and my 3 month survey of Odds On favourites
For August:
367 races
200 odds on favs = 54.5%
114 won = 57% success rate
August's average Odds On price was $1.46
Emma Stewart had a HUGE month for Odds on pops with 42. That means one stable contributed over 20% of the Odds On favs.
In June and July she had 42 in total so her 3 month total was 84
58 won so her personal success rate for the 3mths is 69%
The next most were both Kerryn Manning with 28 Odds On pops for the 3mths with 18 winning so a success rate of 64%
and Andy Gath with 28 and 19 winners so a SR of 68%
The next most are Anton Golino 17/10 and Brent Lilley 16/11
Gavin Lang is still the 'money man' with 13/11
For the 3 months, 175 different trainers supplied the 1,077 odds on pops
The percentage of Odds On pops for the 3mths went:
56% - 52% - 54.5%
The Av price of Odds On pops went:
$1.43 - $1.48 - $1.46
The use of preferential barrier draws (for July and Aug) does not seem to be making a great deal of difference but we do have a lot of races that PBD is not applied to
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What with the new NR system in place, I thought I might keep a tally and a tally only this time, of Odds On pops for the new season
For the meetings so far
6/8
3/7
2/8
6/6 Ballarat (so that I don't forget where I am up to)
=17/29
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6/11, 4/10, 3/11, 4/7 (Cranbourne)
= 34/68
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6/10, 5/11, 6/7, 4/8 (Ballarat)
= 55 odds on/104 races
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