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Thread: Odds-on favourites stats in Vic

  1. #1
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    Odds-on favourites stats in Vic

    With the beginning of a new month I thought I would start a spreadsheet to track Odds-on faves in Vic.
    What a day to pick as the very first meeting was Mildura today

    They had 6 Odds-on faves today and they all LOST

    http://www.harness.org.au/racing/fie...&fromstate=vic

    I have taken stats on Odds-on pops before and found that about Half Lost - they are certainly off to a bad start this time around
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  2. #2
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    I figure I will update this on a weekly basis
    1 week down

    75 races
    42 Odds On Favs = 56%

    20 Won so Success Rate = 47%
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  3. #3
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    11 races at Bendigo tonight and only 1 Odds On
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    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    2 weeks down

    165 races
    87 Odds On Favs = 53%

    52 have won so Success Rate = 60%
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  5. #5
    Senior Member 4YO gutwagon will become famous soon enough gutwagon's Avatar
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    53% odds on favs in races just shows the current handicap system is not producing even races. I would expect the 3.5k races could have an even higher % as they seem to be the most uneven races.
    Don't die wondering !

  6. #6
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    I have not divided the races into classes, I was more interested in which tracks and stables. I know that in the 2 weeks we have had 2 All $3.5k meets: Shep 6/11 odds on and Melton 5/10, so no worse at this stage. The Melton Metro meet on June 8 had 8/11.

    So far the 87 Odds on pops have come from 63 different stables
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  7. #7
    Senior Member Stallion aussiebreno is just really nice aussiebreno is just really nice
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    Quote Originally Posted by Messenger View Post
    I have not divided the races into classes, I was more interested in which tracks and stables. I know that in the 2 weeks we have had 2 All $3.5k meets: Shep 6/11 odds on and Melton 5/10, so no worse at this stage. The Melton Metro meet on June 8 had 8/11.

    So far the 87 Odds on pops have come from 63 different stables
    We demand class records. You are as bad as HRV in regards to not providing class records!!! Just joking Kev

  8. #8
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    I have already pushed my computer skills to the limit to have a single spreadsheet that sorts trainers alphabetically, sorts meeting alphabetically, indicates what the favourites odds were and whether it won or lost, as well as recording the number of races on the card and how many of the faves were odds on. I for one am pretty impressed (with excel)
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