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Thread: Odds-on favourites stats in Vic

  1. #51
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    Only 2 Odds On pops on tonights 9 race program at Melton
    $1.40 and $1.50 both beaten

    http://www.harness.org.au/racing/fie...&fromstate=vic
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  2. #52
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    Aug update (fini of 14/8)

    158 races
    80 odds on favs = 50.6%
    46 won = 57.5% success rate

    Interesting to see in the Big Bets article that only one of the 'misses' was an odds on pop

    https://www.thetrots.com.au/news/art...ats-prominent/
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  3. #53
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    A crazy night at Ararat

    Kerryn Manning had two $1.20 pops beaten

    http://www.harness.org.au/racing/fie...&fromstate=vic
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  4. #54
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    Aug update (fini of 21/8)

    236 races
    132 odds on favs = 55.9%
    75 won = 56.8% success rate

    The number of Odds on pops this last week was huge, resulting in the percentage going up over 5% (it takes some doing when there are already 2 wks to add the figures to)
    No doubt the juvenile races and the Stewart stable played a fair part in the swing
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  5. #55
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    A terrible day for Odds On pops today

    We saw a $1.04 pop beaten at Mildura (they are supposed to win 24/25 times)

    Then only 1 out of 5 Odds on favourites winning at Melton with a $1.10 and a $1.20 both beaten

    http://www.harness.org.au/racing/fie...ic#MLC24081809

    http://www.harness.org.au/racing/fie...&fromstate=vic
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  6. #56
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    5 Odds On favs at Geelong tonight all beaten (including 3 from the Stewart stable) - in fact all 9 favourites beaten

    http://www.harness.org.au/racing/fie...&fromstate=vic
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  7. #57
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    Well that is the end of August, the season and my 3 month survey of Odds On favourites

    For August:

    367 races
    200 odds on favs = 54.5%
    114 won = 57% success rate

    August's average Odds On price was $1.46

    Emma Stewart had a HUGE month for Odds on pops with 42. That means one stable contributed over 20% of the Odds On favs.
    In June and July she had 42 in total so her 3 month total was 84
    58 won so her personal success rate for the 3mths is 69%

    The next most were both Kerryn Manning with 28 Odds On pops for the 3mths with 18 winning so a success rate of 64%
    and Andy Gath with 28 and 19 winners so a SR of 68%

    The next most are Anton Golino 17/10 and Brent Lilley 16/11

    Gavin Lang is still the 'money man' with 13/11

    For the 3 months, 175 different trainers supplied the 1,077 odds on pops

    The percentage of Odds On pops for the 3mths went:

    56% - 52% - 54.5%

    The Av price of Odds On pops went:

    $1.43 - $1.48 - $1.46

    The use of preferential barrier draws (for July and Aug) does not seem to be making a great deal of difference but we do have a lot of races that PBD is not applied to
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