Quote Originally Posted by Messenger View Post
Brendan was on the right track with his rationalization that not all odds on pops win
They were above average tonight with 7/10 = 70%
and Emma Stewart 6/8 = 75%
With the stable 6/7 with odds on pops coming into the last (86%) we just had to 'play the odds' that they were due for a loss and we would have been ecstatic (Soho Burning Love $17 fixed odds)
In the race before Major Sea ($81 FO) was going to get there in another metre or two and that would have been a real upset!
Correct in the sense Nostra Villa got beat but my rediction of 7 come undone with the win of Kauloa. Great night of semis. Punters paradise next week and Sunday at Menangle given pleny of form references and cross referencing as well as educated assumptions to be made! Keep this format!
Whats the Stewart prediction for final night? 5? Would be fave for all but 4yo E&G and maybe mares depending on draw.