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Thread: A Leading Question (stats)

  1. #121
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    Mar 25 = 94.5/253 (Maryborough 6/10)
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  2. #122
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    Mar 26 = 97.5/263 (Shep 3/10)
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  3. #123
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    Mar 27 = 101.5/274 (Mildura 4/11)
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  4. #124
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    Mar 28 = 109.5/ 283 (Ballarat 8/9)

    8/9 doesn't say much for not having a sprint lane
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  5. #125
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    Mar 29 = 113.5/292 (Stawell 4/9)
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  6. #126
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    Ballarat is not usually that bad and although the sample size is not big enough, this year 28 Bell Leaders have won while 27 Bell Leaders have lost
    51% is above the average for the state this year but before Thursday's massive Leader night their percentage was 43.5%
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  7. #127
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    Mar 29 = 117.5/300 (Cranbourne 4/8)
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  8. #128
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    Mar 30 = 123.5/310 (Melton 6/10)

    (although the Bell leader won R2, it was hardly boring as he lost the lead shortly after)
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  9. #129
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    Mar 31 = 126.5/318 (Echuca 3/8)

    March = 39.8% Leaders at the bell going on to win

    End of research:
    Jan 117/304 = 38.5%
    Feb 104.5/256 = 40.8%
    Mar 126.5/318 = 39.8%

    Total for 3 months in Victoria
    348/878

    39.6% of Bell Leaders were Winners

    This is far less than I expected and somewhat disproves that harness racing is leader dominated and boring
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