Roll With Joe
+ Reply to Thread
Page 3 of 19 FirstFirst 1 2 3 4 5 13 ... LastLast
Results 21 to 30 of 182

Thread: Odds On Pops and Other Effects on Market Share

  1. #21
    Senior Member 4YO HaroldParker will become famous soon enough
    Real Name
    Bob Parker
    Posts
    300
    Quote Originally Posted by Messenger View Post
    I have never followed WA but you made me take a look.
    We have an 800m track with no sprint lane
    9/10 winners were the leader
    KP twice leads from 1 easily but hands up the lead to the Odds On Fav both times
    Runs second both times
    Hmm.
    It isn't just last Friday mate. I could give you a list as long as your arm and they're not discreet about it.

    The integrity of the sport is at stake and the Sheriffs are too busy drink kool aid.

  2. #22
    Senior Member 2YO Viv Strangman will become famous soon enough
    Real Name
    Viv Strangman
    Posts
    166
    Quote Originally Posted by HaroldParker View Post
    It isn't just last Friday mate. I could give you a list as long as your arm and they're not discreet about it.

    The integrity of the sport is at stake and the Sheriffs are too busy drink kool aid.
    Having spent six months in Perth last year based at Byford, you are only scratching the surface believe me.

  3. #23
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    14,029
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    A bad afternoon for Odds On pops today at Maryborough. Only 2/5 successful and the 3 beaten were all LONG Odds On pops (< $1.55)
    After this arvos meet we have now had 30 out of 57 odds on pops beaten in June in Vic with 8 of the 30 being long odds on.
    per un PUGNO di DOLLARI

  4. #24
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    14,029
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    I don't think too many odds on pops is good for attracting punters and if I am right then after 13 days of June I think we in VIC have too many odds on favs

    In the 13 days of June so far Vic have had 155 TAB races and there have been 77 odds on pops = as close to 50% of races as you are going to get.

    Maybe we need to market that there is value to be found in races with an odds on fave as only 41 out of 77 have won ie only 53%

    ps I backed Hawthorn at $1.24 tonight and I can tell you that backing odds on pops is not good for the heart
    per un PUGNO di DOLLARI

  5. #25
    Super Moderator Stallion Richard prior will become famous soon enough Richard prior's Avatar
    Real Name
    Richard Prior
    Location
    Sydney
    Occupation
    Gas Operator
    Posts
    1,516
    Horses
    Intransit
    Blues gave the Hawks a shake Kev. I've followed the Trots for a lot of years and have always thought there was more value with the Trots than what you get with the Thoroughbreds or Greyhounds, It's a very interesting stat and definitley a bit of value for the punter.

  6. #26
    Senior Member 4YO brent_L will become famous soon enough
    Real Name
    Brent Lambert
    Location
    Castle Hill Sydney
    Posts
    472
    Quote Originally Posted by Messenger View Post
    I don't think too many odds on pops is good for attracting punters and if I am right then after 13 days of June I think we in VIC have too many odds on favs

    In the 13 days of June so far Vic have had 155 TAB races and there have been 77 odds on pops = as close to 50% of races as you are going to get.

    Maybe we need to market that there is value to be found in races with an odds on fave as only 41 out of 77 have won ie only 53%

    ps I backed Hawthorn at $1.24 tonight and I can tell you that backing odds on pops is not good for the heart
    Kev, I assume your stats are from the VIC tote?? They would change rather markedly when done on Betfair prices (which I believe is the only true indicator of a horses correct price). My figures over the years show that whether u were to back or lay (for equal stakes of course) each and every fav under $2 u come out pretty much square....paying the commission on winning bets then results in a loss.
    ps I hear u re the footy.....that's 2 straight weeks Carlton have scared the begeesus out of me!

  7. #27
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    14,029
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    All 4 Odds On pops LOST at Cranbourne tonight. Vic TAB June tally stands at 42/84 (winners or losers does not matter )
    per un PUGNO di DOLLARI

  8. #28
    Member Gelding doncht will become famous soon enough
    Real Name
    Don Chet
    Posts
    53
    Thanks for that. Good number on pops.

  9. #29
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    14,029
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    Only 2/6 got up at Shep this arvo. A day of contrasts with two $1.10 winners and two $52+ winners. Running tally for the month is now more losing odds on pops than winners 47-48.
    per un PUGNO di DOLLARI

  10. #30
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    14,029
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    What a diff a couple of days makes. Winning Odds On pops now leading 59 winners to 52 losers.
    If I was a punter I would like it lot clearer however
    per un PUGNO di DOLLARI

+ Reply to Thread

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts