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Thread: Odds On Favourites under the VIC tiered system 2016-17

  1. #1
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    Odds On Favourites under the VIC tiered system 2016-17

    The tiered system is supposed to reduce the number of odds on favs and therefore I have started a db of how many we have this season and I will update it regularly here.
    In the db I am including at what track, who trained them, the type and value of the race and whether they were winners. I will report any patterns that emerge

    I would like to see whether turnover is really hurt by odds on favs but I am not keen enough to keep 2 dbs going (maybe next yr)
    per un PUGNO di DOLLARI

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    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    So far we have had 46 races this season with 20 Odds On favs and 14 successful
    That is 43% of races with an Odds On fav
    70% of Odds On favs winning (better than the last time I kept tabs on them)
    Early Days!
    per un PUGNO di DOLLARI

  3. #3
    Senior Member Colt Mark Croatto will become famous soon enough
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    Hi Kevin

    Look forward to seeing the results

    Regards

    Mark

  4. #4
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    Only 1 Odds On at Mildura last night and that was $1.90.
    So far this season Mildura have had 14 races for only 3 odds on favs

    http://www.harness.org.au/meeting-re...L080916&ms=vic
    per un PUGNO di DOLLARI

  5. #5
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    8 out of 11 races at Bendigo tonight had Odds On favs. Admittedly there were six 3yo races that could not be considered Tiered racing - they contributed 4 of the Odds On pops but 4 came from the 5 C class races

    http://www.harness.org.au/meeting-re...ic#BNC09091610
    per un PUGNO di DOLLARI

  6. #6
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    First 100 races down and let's hope the figures improve as so far we have had 46 Odds On favs (63% successful)
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  7. #7
    Senior Member Horse Of The Year Amlin will become famous soon enough Amlin's Avatar
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    From today's Herald Sun
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  8. #8
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    WHAT !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Did we used to have more than 46% of races with Odds On Favs ????????
    per un PUGNO di DOLLARI

  9. #9
    Senior Member Horse Of The Year Toohard will become famous soon enough Toohard's Avatar
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    Haven't been following much but have seen couple horses go around odds on in 5k races that probably shouldn't have been (and get beat). Take a while for it all to 'settle down'.

    Looking at the 5k races last night.

    $2 fav won by an $8 chance
    $2 fav won by a $9.10 chance
    $2.90 fav won by a $49.70 chance
    $2.70 fav won by a $16.30 chance
    $2.90 fav won ($2.90 fav in field of 6)

    Horsham day before

    $1.50 fav won by $20.80 chance
    $2.30 fav won by $14.90 chance

    Certainly value there that probably wouldn't have been before.

  10. #10
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    I have it on good authority that last season we had 44% of favourites Odds On so that is our point of reference
    per un PUGNO di DOLLARI

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