Roll With Joe
+ Reply to Thread
Page 1 of 14 1 2 3 11 ... LastLast
Results 1 to 10 of 140

Thread: Odds On Favourites under the VIC tiered system 2016-17

  1. #1
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    6,299
    Horses
    A long, long time ago

    Odds On Favourites under the VIC tiered system 2016-17

    The tiered system is supposed to reduce the number of odds on favs and therefore I have started a db of how many we have this season and I will update it regularly here.
    In the db I am including at what track, who trained them, the type and value of the race and whether they were winners. I will report any patterns that emerge

    I would like to see whether turnover is really hurt by odds on favs but I am not keen enough to keep 2 dbs going (maybe next yr)
    The Thin Green Line - Supporting the Rangers who protect the world's endangered animals against poachers

  2. #2
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    6,299
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    So far we have had 46 races this season with 20 Odds On favs and 14 successful
    That is 43% of races with an Odds On fav
    70% of Odds On favs winning (better than the last time I kept tabs on them)
    Early Days!
    The Thin Green Line - Supporting the Rangers who protect the world's endangered animals against poachers

  3. #3
    Senior Member Colt Mark Croatto will become famous soon enough
    Real Name
    mark croatto
    Location
    Crookwell NSW
    Posts
    116
    Hi Kevin

    Look forward to seeing the results

    Regards

    Mark

  4. #4
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    6,299
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    Only 1 Odds On at Mildura last night and that was $1.90.
    So far this season Mildura have had 14 races for only 3 odds on favs

    http://www.harness.org.au/meeting-re...L080916&ms=vic
    The Thin Green Line - Supporting the Rangers who protect the world's endangered animals against poachers

  5. #5
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    6,299
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    8 out of 11 races at Bendigo tonight had Odds On favs. Admittedly there were six 3yo races that could not be considered Tiered racing - they contributed 4 of the Odds On pops but 4 came from the 5 C class races

    http://www.harness.org.au/meeting-re...ic#BNC09091610
    The Thin Green Line - Supporting the Rangers who protect the world's endangered animals against poachers

  6. #6
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    6,299
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    First 100 races down and let's hope the figures improve as so far we have had 46 Odds On favs (63% successful)
    The Thin Green Line - Supporting the Rangers who protect the world's endangered animals against poachers

  7. #7
    Senior Member Horse Of The Year Amlin will become famous soon enough Amlin's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kyle Galley
    Posts
    586
    From today's Herald Sun
    Attached Images

  8. #8
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    6,299
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    WHAT !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Did we used to have more than 46% of races with Odds On Favs ????????
    The Thin Green Line - Supporting the Rangers who protect the world's endangered animals against poachers

  9. #9
    Senior Member Horse Of The Year Toohard will become famous soon enough Toohard's Avatar
    Real Name
    Paul Humphreys
    Location
    Gisborne, Victoria
    Posts
    783
    Horses
    PalaisDuLouvre,Trip 7s, AnythingForLove
    Haven't been following much but have seen couple horses go around odds on in 5k races that probably shouldn't have been (and get beat). Take a while for it all to 'settle down'.

    Looking at the 5k races last night.

    $2 fav won by an $8 chance
    $2 fav won by a $9.10 chance
    $2.90 fav won by a $49.70 chance
    $2.70 fav won by a $16.30 chance
    $2.90 fav won ($2.90 fav in field of 6)

    Horsham day before

    $1.50 fav won by $20.80 chance
    $2.30 fav won by $14.90 chance

    Certainly value there that probably wouldn't have been before.

  10. #10
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    6,299
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    I have it on good authority that last season we had 44% of favourites Odds On so that is our point of reference
    The Thin Green Line - Supporting the Rangers who protect the world's endangered animals against poachers

+ Reply to Thread

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts