Roll With Joe
+ Reply to Thread
Page 2 of 14 FirstFirst 1 2 3 4 12 ... LastLast
Results 11 to 20 of 140

Thread: Odds On Favourites under the VIC tiered system 2016-17

  1. #11
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    14,000
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    At tonight's 7 Kilmore meet there was not a single Odds On fav

    http://www.harness.org.au/meeting-re...I140916&ms=vic
    per un PUGNO di DOLLARI

  2. #12
    Senior Member Horse Of The Year Toohard will become famous soon enough Toohard's Avatar
    Real Name
    Paul Humphreys
    Location
    Gisborne, Victoria
    Posts
    818
    Horses
    PalaisDuLouvre,Trip 7s, AnythingForLove
    Race 2 at Ballarat last night one of the new $5 races. Horse went out odds on favourite at $1.90. Had 43 starts for 1 win (in 2014). Race won by $3.90 chance. With 2 outsiders running 2nd and 3rd.
    Easy in retrospect but the winner (although 'numerically' worse) would have appeared to have better form.

    The 2 other 5k races had a $2.60 fav won by a $7.80 chance and a $2.20 fav that won.

    Kilmore night before had 3 $5k races. $5.60 winner (fav started $3.00) $5.00 winner (fav started $2.40) $2.60 winner (fav started $2.50)

    Its only a small sample but these races throwing up some good price winners at moment and very few really short odds on runners.

  3. #13
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    14,000
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    Yours is a selective sample Paul. Until the Kilmore no Odds On favs night we were seeing MORE odds on favs than last yr - see post 6.
    As far as value goes Odds On favs were never a problem as they presented the punter with value opportunities as whenever I did a survey of them, I found that half the time they were losing
    per un PUGNO di DOLLARI

  4. #14
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    14,000
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    I do not know that Metro racing is really any different under tiered racing but I will post here.
    Not going to keep a db on NSW but noticed for the 24 races at Menangle so far this season they have only had 2 Odds On favs
    While for the 27 races run at Melton so far there have been 10 Odds On favs. Small sample of course but that is 8% compared to 37%
    per un PUGNO di DOLLARI

  5. #15
    Senior Member Horse Of The Year Amlin will become famous soon enough Amlin's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kyle Galley
    Posts
    605
    Noms look to be on the improve. Good size fields at Echuca and strong entries for Cranboune Sat

  6. #16
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    14,000
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    Good to see 9 races at Echuca Kyle, after programs of 7, 6 & 7 for the first 3 meets of the week
    per un PUGNO di DOLLARI

  7. #17
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    14,000
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    250 races down after Cranbourne tonight

    112 Odds On favs = 44.8%
    66½ have won which is about 60% (40% have LOST!)

    Brent Lilley has had the most with 10 and 80% success
    Andy Gath is next with 9

    then All on 7
    Matty Craven (all but one successful)
    Emma Stewart
    David Aiken
    per un PUGNO di DOLLARI

  8. #18
    Senior Member Horse Of The Year Amlin will become famous soon enough Amlin's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kyle Galley
    Posts
    605
    That still leaves over 45% of races without an odds on pop. Successful punters don't bet on every race. Some even let a meeting go by without placing a bet.

  9. #19
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    14,000
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    You mean 55% of races without an Odds On pop Kyle.
    The point is that at this early stage the tiered racing is making Zilch difference
    Successful punters do as you said but I don't think the aim of the scheme is to have punters bet less
    per un PUGNO di DOLLARI

  10. #20
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    14,000
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    Tonight we had another $1.10 fav at Bendigo, like the last one (in the very first race of the season) it was beaten
    Interesting that there was $16k in the Win Pool which was more than for the races either side of it (both of whom had $3 favs)
    The 3 shortest favourites of the season so far have been $1.04 (winner) and two $1.10 favs both at Bendigo and BOTH losers
    This may be one of those times that our lack of media coverage is a good thing because I can imagine the stories if that was to happen in the gallops
    per un PUGNO di DOLLARI

+ Reply to Thread

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts