Vicbred Series 2022

[Messenger]

We have the 3yo's at Kilmore tomorrow night and with 4 heats of each sex, only 6 from each will go on to the Semis
On Friday we have the 4yo's at Melton and like the 2yo heats from Tuesday, in the mares only a couple need to be eliminated before the Semi's while the C&G are bigger fields and a few more need to go

https://www.harness.org.au/racing/fields/race-fields/?mc=KI151222

https://www.harness.org.au/racing/fields/race-fields/?mc=MX161222#MXC16122209

[Messenger]

Like most, I am not a fan of Odds On but I can see why Act Now has come in from $1.28 to $1.22 in R8 tonight

https://www.harness.org.au/racing/fields/race-fields/?mc=MX161222#MXC16122207

[Messenger]

Pacing Semi Final fields for Friday night

https://www.harness.org.au/racing/fields/race-fields/?mc=MX231222

[Messenger]

The Vicbred 4yo C&Gs final should be a beauty but if the Moth draws to lead, it is hard to see him losing. That of course requires him to draw better than Act Now. Did Act Now 'run his race' before the race tonight or has he come to the end of his run - he is certainly entitled to a spell

[Messenger]

So is Amore Vita back? It was a tough last 700m but she is a different horse as she did not show the zip that made her exciting. If it comes down to toughness she is not going to beat Encipher IMO

[Messenger]

2yo C&G draw

It just improves the odds for The Lost Storm

[Messenger]

The 3yo C&G draw
This should be a great race

[Messenger]

3yo Fillies draw
Unless they can lock Encipher up on the fence, it appears her race again

[Messenger]

4yo C&G
The Semi winners have it between them

[Messenger]

2yo Fillies draw
The draw does it again and Joyful looks the goods

[Messenger]

Michael Bellman would have been disappointed not to be on Dougs Babe tonight
having been on her last 11 starts including the last four reading 5 - 4 - 3 - 2 - and tonight she was $1.15

[Messenger]

The 4yo mares draw
When the emerg comes out, Tough Tilly's draw is fine

[Messenger]

The fields have been posted for Saturday night

https://www.harness.org.au/racing/fields/race-fields/?mc=MX311222

How good should the 3yo C&G be. The best 5 horses have drawn 1-5
I know Catch A Wave is special but he is not bombproof
I would have liked Heza Son Of Agun to have drawn inside him but he is still a chance

Joyful is $1.20 in the 2yoF and I have followed her since her first start (for Brent Lilley) and that was 7 months ago - so she has been up for 8 months but she has had 6 weeks between runs in September and again in November
I wish I had caught the $71 openers for Aureus with the Candyman on

[Messenger]

$25k Silver Paces and $12k Bronzes at Bendigo tonight

I have done no form but one trainer that caught my attention is Jeremy Seal
A South Aussie who has a 50% strike rate this season having won 11 of 22
He has starters in R1 and R3 and neither have drawn particularly well - 7 & 6 but both are to be driven by Nathan Jack
Both Shazzam and Atreacherous are 4yo mares, the first in a Bronze the second in a Silver

https://www.harness.org.au/racing/fields/race-fields/?mc=BN301222

[Messenger]

3yo colt Eyethink returns to racing for Aaron Dunn in the Bronze pace
He has not started for nearly 20 months but in his two 2yo starts he looked like he might be something special
Obviously something went amiss and it will be interesting to see how he goes in R2

https://www.harness.org.au/racing/fields/race-fields/?mc=BN301222#BNC30122207

[Messenger]

I wasn't sure that was Greg Sugars on the first winner - I don't know whether I have ever seen him belt one like that

[Messenger]

Nosweetsforyou was some run after blowing the start Big Time
She was backed heavily and you would have to think she would have won the Silver 2yo fillies if not for giving them a massive start
Matriart also made a mistake mid race, lost plenty of ground and was then climbing over their backs at the end. Another "what might have been"
Overall you would have to say that The Huntress had a bit of luck even if she did do it from the death

https://www.harness.org.au/racing/fields/race-fields/?mc=BN301222#BNC30122210

[Messenger]

It seems out of whack that horses can get into the Silvers without even contesting a heat

[Messenger]

R1 Rockinwithattitude will lead all the way but is $1.30.
Jayden Barker has driven it every other start for 13-8-2-1 so I am worried about the boss taking the reins off him - karma
Princess Jamilla is $1.95 the place and could land behind her but there is probably only one place spot up for grabs as you would think Mark Pitt should fill one with Tradie Lady ($1.30) and there are several others who could place such as Salski ($3.60) while I see somebody just knocked off the $10 the place for Valerie Lane

[Messenger]

In R2 I am going for Hide and Seek as I think the draw, the driver and the prep with only this in mind gives him an edge over the other two on the 2nd line
How did David Jack lose this horse to the Tubbs/Sugars stable who only got it for that last heat win?

[Mytwobobsworth]

R1 Rockinwithattitude will lead all the way but is $1.30.
Jayden Barker has driven it every other start for 13-8-2-1 so I am worried about the boss taking the reins off him - karma
Princess Jamilla is $1.95 the place and could land behind her but there is probably only one place spot up for grabs as you would think Mark Pitt should fill one with Tradie Lady ($1.30) and there are several others who could place such as Salski ($3.60) while I see somebody just knocked off the $10 the place for Valerie Lane
Don’t be to harsh on D Miles, think theres a bit more to it.

[Mytwobobsworth]

In R2 I am going for Hide and Seek as I think the draw, the driver and the prep with only this in mind gives him an edge over the other two on the 2nd line
How did David Jack lose this horse to the Tubbs/Sugars stable who only got it for that last heat win?

Pretty sure the horse was sold after winning its bonus, i seen it advertised but can’t remember how much. Thinking it was in the 20-30k range. Going by the new owner im guessing it’s off to Qld after this.

[Messenger]

R3 Courmayeur has drawn 1 to lead and has looked fantastic in the lead up BUT she is just too short at $1.35
She has never started this short before, much less in a Gp1
She has had 3 previous Gp1's and been unplaced in all of them
Her strongest opposition are her stablemates that have drawn poorly
It sounds like I am potting her but although I think she will win, I cannot entertain her price

[Messenger]

R4 The draw has made it an interesting viewing race but not a punting race IMO as I just cannot see how you can bet against The Lost Storm because of his class but $1.40 from barrier 12 - no thanks
Could Another Nien get a place at $10 - can he hold the lead until The Storm comes without copping too much pressure?

I want The Lost Storm to win as he is a champion 2yo and for him to have < $80k in the bank does not seem right

[Messenger]

R5 and the draw has made this one interesting too
There has been considerable money for Dougs Babe ($2.40) to beat Tough Tilly ($1.75) but i don't find the odds for either attractive (I should have mentioned much earlier that I am not really a big punter)
If Ladies In Red was in the race in Tough Tilly's draw, she would be $1.30 or less
If I was to have an interest I would take Tay Tay if she gets out to $10. If she had Sugars or Butt on her, I would take the current $9

[Messenger]

R6 is too hard for someone who is not a trotting gait devotee (I don't watch enough of them and cannot be bothered doing the form)

R7 is likely to be the race of the night. I think Major Moth has had the perfect prep for it but Better Eclipse appears to be in peak form despite already contesting the Inter.
There are several leading possibilities but I am thinking Act Now could come around and give the Moth a lovely trail if he doesn't already have it on Eclipse's back. Mind you La Captain could come around if Eclipse gets stuck in Death early
Too tricky for me

[Messenger]

R8 I think I heard Kate Gath say last night that Catch A Wave is the fastest beginner she has driven
If he leads probably wins but although a likely future champion he can be a bit quirky
He has blown from $1.35 to $1.80 with a few runners shortening a little but the biggest mover has been Roarforroscoe coming in from $34 to $10
If Catch A Wave got to Evens it would be tempting while if Heza Son Of Agun approaching $10 would be a good interest

[Messenger]

With the stablemate scratched in R9 Joyful is unbackable at $1.06
You cannot get $71 about Aureus anymore but I would be more comfortable having $20 on her than $5,000 on Joyful for the same return

[Messenger]

Don’t be to harsh on D Miles, think theres a bit more to it.

Thanks John, I wondered that as I am a fan of Milesy and aware of the factors

[Messenger]

Pretty sure the horse was sold after winning its bonus, i seen it advertised but can’t remember how much. Thinking it was in the 20-30k range. Going by the new owner im guessing it’s off to Qld after this.

Thanks again John, I generally remember to check ownership when there is a change of stables and Yes you are correct in thinking there has been

[Messenger]

R10 Cravache Dor should be making it a 2nd or 3rd Gp1 trot for Nathan Jack

[Messenger]

R11 Encipher VERY RARELY loses, in fact the only time she lost this year was when she drew 3, sat in the death and got beaten a SHFHD and a HFHD by the two drawn inside her
$1.20 says it all

[Messenger]

R12 Visionary has stamped herself as a future top trotting mare since tackling Queen Elida when rated dozens of points below her

[Messenger]

Just looking at JB's form analysis and his and Dan's $200 betting plans - it seems everyone like Heza Son Of Agun as an upset chance.

[Messenger]

“I’ve been in the game for 45 years,” she said. “This is the first horse I’ve had like this. I’m very excited. I’ll be coming home from Halls Gap for the big one

I got a bit excited when I read this - thinking another harness fan lived in town but then I realized Michelle has just been up here on holidays

https://www.thetrots.com.au/news/articles/big-syndicate-ready-to-right-rocky-group-1-fortunes/

[Messenger]

Major Moth OUT

[Messenger]

Act Now understandably 2nd favourite

[Messenger]

How special is The Last Storm - incredible

Why did the owner have to wear a T-shirt with "Cool As Fcuk" on it

You can never accuse the trots of being classy :rolleyes:

ps I do know it is a brand - a brand with no class

[Messenger]

I am going to stick my neck out here as it is not fair to bring it up after the race
They are talking about Captain Bellasario being a chance
And I know some of these are possibly looking for the spelling paddock
When I go to the gallops and don't know much about them, I look at how much prizemoney the horses have won
Captain Bellasario is up against horses who have won heaps more, have won Inter heats etc
The commentators are out of my league but I cannot help but think Captn B may slightly out of his league
(ps I would love to own him)

[Messenger]

LOL
He could not have hoped for it to pan out any better

[aussiebreno]

Kev dont feel bad because Captain B never beats them on merit. Only ebats them on a ridiculous drive. New year new driver for Act Now if he is to reach his full potential.

[Messenger]

Yes, I think if Jodi just cruises to the death and waits for the last 600m the iron horse Act Now could well have won

[Messenger]

I should have added that I am a fan of the Captain, anybody that saw his first 2 runs the campaign before this just had to be - he set a Tk Rec leading then he came from back in the field in fast time at Melton
It has been very smart targeting by the stable to put him out and aim at tonight

[Messenger]

As suggested Catch A Wave is a fantastic beginner and to withstand that bell lap challenge and win comfortably was very impressive. I think Matt Craven had a brain fade and should probably use brother Glen or Jason Lee more (cousin?)

[Messenger]

How special is The Last Storm - incredible

Why did the owner have to wear a T-shirt with "Cool As Fcuk" on it

You can never accuse the trots of being classy :rolleyes:

ps I do know it is a brand - a brand with no class

I have to take it back
Thanks to Joyful we saw an owner with a bow tie!

[Messenger]

It is a long night - we are only ¾ of the way through and I feel like I have been binge viewing :(

[Messenger]

I commend Dan for being critical of the three 37 minute breaks between races late in the night - it is at least 7 minutes too long, you would not think it would make that big a difference but it really seems to drag

[Messenger]

We really need to grow - with that 12th win of his career 3yo Cravache Dor just passes $200k
Then again 3yo pacer Encipher will notch up $575k if she wins the next

LOL Nathan Jack saying that most of the crowd are here for the fireworks but it is true that you just have to get the people there for a start

[Messenger]

WOW I did not think Amore Vita could win tough like that

[Messenger]

I have to take it back
Thanks to Joyful we saw an owner with a bow tie!

Wait a minute, I think it was Alabar's representative presenting the trophy

[Mighty Atom]

I have to take it back
Thanks to Joyful we saw an owner with a bow tie!

I can't imagine an owner in the gallops lining up for an interview or trophy presentation wearing something like that there again there has always been a class distinction between a thoroughbred and a harness racing trainer and no wonder.:confused:

[aussiebreno]

Point of difference is we're the sport for everyone not the sport of kings. Never going to compete if trying to compete based on how upmarket we are. This fellow is paying bills and bringing money into the industry, someone in Toorak might be more classy but they're not going to Melton. The sport needs characters, and the thing with characters is they dont always do things the politically correct way.

[Messenger]

Michael Bellman would have been disappointed not to be on Dougs Babe tonight
having been on her last 11 starts including the last four reading 5 - 4 - 3 - 2 - and tonight she was $1.15

It turns out that Anthony bought himself this Gp1 with partner Sonya purhasing the horse before the Semis
It is rumoured that the horse is going to the US

[Messenger]

Point of difference is we're the sport for everyone not the sport of kings. Never going to compete if trying to compete based on how upmarket we are. This fellow is paying bills and bringing money into the industry, someone in Toorak might be more classy but they're not going to Melton. The sport needs characters, and the thing with characters is they dont always do things the politically correct way.

You can say we are the people's code and the clubs are run by people, by members, who make the rules. Dress codes are everywhere nowadays (including the trots) so even a rich bill payer can rarely escape them - quite often when just going out. So if the club want him to cover that up as it is going out on media, he should not be surprised. It is a matter of standards which people/members will have the final say on

Are you going to let him accept the trophy with absolutely any T-shirt Brendan?

[Showgrounds]

How special is The Last Storm - incredible

Why did the owner have to wear a T-shirt with "Cool As Fcuk" on it

You can never accuse the trots of being classy :rolleyes:

ps I do know it is a brand - a brand with no class

For somebody to where that shirt with high confidence they would be photographed accepting the winner's trophy is detrimental to the image of the sport. That HRV occasionally has to remind participants about their standard of dress at our premier track demonstrates the lack of class and respect by some. Next time, perhaps, the owner might choose something more classy to reflect their status in the sport. May I suggest a silk shirt. Wire a pig's head mask.

[Messenger]

Vicbred Finals WILL NOT be on New Years Eve in 2023 but rather in September

https://www.thetrots.com.au/news/articles/vicbred-super-series-to-launch-harness-racing-spring-summer-season/