A Leading Question (stats)

Vic Feb 13 Ararat cancelled due to Wimmera Catastrophic Fire Rating
We can relate to this as we are sleeping at the Stawell fire refuge tonight after evacuating Halls Gap
I am pretty sure HG will be alright but I’m very worried about how Pomonal has fared

Vic Feb 14 = 45/127 (Geelong 3/8)

Vic Feb 14 = 49/135 (Echuca 4/8)

Vic Feb 15 = 53/145 (Bendigo 4/10)

Only 36.5% leaders winning so far in Feb

Vic Feb 16 = 56/154 (Melton 3/9)

Vic Feb 17 = 62/163 (Terang 6/9)

Vic Feb 18 = 67/171 (Gunbower 5/8)

Vic Feb 19 = 70/179 (Warragul 3/8)

Vic Feb 20 = 75.5/191 (Mildura 5.5/12)

We had a deadheat last night

Vic Feb 21 = 80.5/201 (Bendigo 5/10)

We are up to 40% for Feb

Vic Feb 22 both Horsham and Shepparton Abandoned

Vic Feb 23 = 85.5/209 (Geelong 5/8)

Vic Feb 24 = 86.5/219 (Melton 1/10)

Maybe trotters don't lead and win

We are back under 40% again

Vic Feb 25 = 89.5/227 (Cranbourne 3/8)

Vic Feb 26 = 97.5/237 (Charlton 8/10)
Big day for leaders

Vic Feb 27 = 101.5/247 (Mildura 4/10, not 11 as one race abandoned)

Feb 28 No Racing - both Maryborough and Shep abandoned

Vic Feb 29 = 104.5/256 (Ballarat 3/9)

So for Feb 40.8% of bell leaders went on to win

The combined total for Jan and Feb is 221.5/560 = 39.55% bell leaders went on to win

I will continue for March but I am not sure after that

Mar 1 = 3/9 (Ararat 3/9)

Mar 2 = 7/17 (Melton 4/8)

Mar 3 = 13/26 (Boort 6/9)

Vic Mar 4 = 17/38 (Cobram 4/12)

Mar 5 = 19/48 (Melton 2/10)

Mar 6 = 23/56 (Swan Hill 4/8)

Mar 7 = 26/63 (Cranbourne 3/7)

Mar 8 = 30/71 (Maryborough 4/8)

Mar 8 = 35/80 (Ballarat 5/9)

Mar 9 = 35/89 (Bendigo 0/9)

0/9 saw the March percentage fall 5% in one meeting

Mar 10 = 39/96 (Birchip 4/7)

Mar 10 = 42/104 (Wangaratta 3/8)

Mar 11 = 45.5/112 (Horsham 3½/8)

Mar 12 = 49.5/120 (Mildura 4/8)

Mar 13 = 50.5/129 (Bendigo 1/9)

Mar 14 = 50.5/139 (Geelong 0/9)

After the last 2 days we are down to only 36% of leaders winning in March

Mar 15 = 53.5/146 (Yarra Valley 3/7)

Mar 15 = 55.5/156 (Shepparton 2/10)

Mar 16 = 60.5/165 (Melton 5/9)

Mar 17 = 64.5/173 (Charlton 4/8)

Mar 18 = 67.5/183 (Maryborough 3/10)

Mar 19 = 70.5/195 (Mildura 3/12)

Mar 20 = 73.5/203 (Terang 3/8)

Mar 21 = 75.5/210 (Echuca 2/7)

I am definitely stopping at the end of the month

Mar 22 = 77.5/219 (Ballarat 2/9)

Mar 23 = 81.5/227 (Melton 4/8)

Mar 24 = 84.5/235 (Ouyen 3/8)
Mar 24 = 88.5/243 (Cranbourne 4/8)