The Punt

[Messenger]

Oh the vagaries of the punt
R5 at Maryborough today

Somebody(s) must have plonked a bit on the winner No Win No Worries at the jump because he ended up tote favourite and only paid $2.60 so they made $1.60 for every dollar bet. He opened the day at that fixed but quickly blew to $4 fixed where he stayed so they could have made nearly twice as much money - $3 for every dollar bet, that is a big diff

The fixed favourite Priddy Sublime did the opposite he opened the day at $5 fixed but quickly came into $2.20 where he stayed. It was only a 7 horse race so only 2 place divvies but although he was beaten into 2nd you could have got $3 the place on the tote
(Of course there was only $2.5k in the place pool)

http://www.harness.org.au/racing/fie...21#MHC29092105

https://www.tab.com.au/racing/2021-0...GH/MYB/H/5/Win

[Messenger]

Don't you hate it when you go to the trouble of putting a horse in your blackbook, don't follow through on it and they pay $31 (fixed)

[Messenger]

It won so I am no doubt the fool but how could Kilmore R1 winner Rainbowsnpearls start $1.30

She had had 7 starts before this 4yo+ Maiden pace
She was ODM and coming out of 11
She was $1.70 beaten favourite from 3 at her last start
Rob Auber only picked it for 3rd and whoever did the odds assessed her at $6

http://www.harness.org.au/racing/fie...21#KIC11112104

[Messenger]

The last at Melton tonight
When the market opened
Techys Angel was $1.75 - she started $8 (2.9m second)
Maajida was $5.50 - started $1.85 and won

[aussiebreno]

Opening prices were ridiculous. 7 starts ago Maajida was fairly $2.20 when drawn #13 at Wagga and Techys drew to lead. Techy did win on that occassion but with Maajida drawn the inside she was quite clearly deserved fave.

[Messenger]

We non punters don't really know what is going on if we only look at the TAB
R7 Bathurst last night NSW TAB held <$5k win and <$15k all forms
And yet I read that Betfair held $119k of matched bets on the race

[aussiebreno]

We non punters don't really know what is going on if we only look at the TAB
R7 Bathurst last night NSW TAB held <$5k win and <$15k all forms
And yet I read that Betfair held $119k of matched bets on the race

Probably robots though

[Messenger]

Brendan, you will have to explain for me and the other uneducated occasional punters
(I haven't ever been on Betfair, much less punted there)

[Messenger]

If you are ever tempted to bet on the dogs, watch this first

https://vimeopro.com/greyhoundswa/20...ideo/653170036

[Messenger]

I am not a punter anymore but another rule for those that are
2 good horses from the same stable owned by the same connections, who are not punters, in the same race
Don't take $1.10 about one of them, as it makes no difference to them who wins

http://www.harness.org.au/racing/fie...21#MXM11122109