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Thread: The Punt

  1. #1
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    The Punt

    Oh the vagaries of the punt
    R5 at Maryborough today

    Somebody(s) must have plonked a bit on the winner No Win No Worries at the jump because he ended up tote favourite and only paid $2.60 so they made $1.60 for every dollar bet. He opened the day at that fixed but quickly blew to $4 fixed where he stayed so they could have made nearly twice as much money - $3 for every dollar bet, that is a big diff

    The fixed favourite Priddy Sublime did the opposite he opened the day at $5 fixed but quickly came into $2.20 where he stayed. It was only a 7 horse race so only 2 place divvies but although he was beaten into 2nd you could have got $3 the place on the tote
    (Of course there was only $2.5k in the place pool)

    http://www.harness.org.au/racing/fie...21#MHC29092105

    https://www.tab.com.au/racing/2021-0...GH/MYB/H/5/Win
    per un PUGNO di DOLLARI

  2. #2
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    Don't you hate it when you go to the trouble of putting a horse in your blackbook, don't follow through on it and they pay $31 (fixed)
    Attached Images
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  3. #3
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    It won so I am no doubt the fool but how could Kilmore R1 winner Rainbowsnpearls start $1.30

    She had had 7 starts before this 4yo+ Maiden pace
    She was ODM and coming out of 11
    She was $1.70 beaten favourite from 3 at her last start
    Rob Auber only picked it for 3rd and whoever did the odds assessed her at $6

    http://www.harness.org.au/racing/fie...21#KIC11112104
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  4. #4
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    The last at Melton tonight
    When the market opened
    Techys Angel was $1.75 - she started $8 (2.9m second)
    Maajida was $5.50 - started $1.85 and won
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  5. #5
    aussiebreno
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    Opening prices were ridiculous. 7 starts ago Maajida was fairly $2.20 when drawn #13 at Wagga and Techys drew to lead. Techy did win on that occassion but with Maajida drawn the inside she was quite clearly deserved fave.

  6. #6
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    We non punters don't really know what is going on if we only look at the TAB
    R7 Bathurst last night NSW TAB held <$5k win and <$15k all forms
    And yet I read that Betfair held $119k of matched bets on the race
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  7. #7
    aussiebreno
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    Quote Originally Posted by Messenger View Post
    We non punters don't really know what is going on if we only look at the TAB
    R7 Bathurst last night NSW TAB held <$5k win and <$15k all forms
    And yet I read that Betfair held $119k of matched bets on the race
    Probably robots though

  8. #8
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    Brendan, you will have to explain for me and the other uneducated occasional punters
    (I haven't ever been on Betfair, much less punted there)
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  9. #9
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    If you are ever tempted to bet on the dogs, watch this first

    https://vimeopro.com/greyhoundswa/20...ideo/653170036
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  10. #10
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
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    I am not a punter anymore but another rule for those that are
    2 good horses from the same stable owned by the same connections, who are not punters, in the same race
    Don't take $1.10 about one of them, as it makes no difference to them who wins

    http://www.harness.org.au/racing/fie...21#MXM11122109
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