Reply With QuoteNot sure its the best draw for Trigger. I think Mach Beauty may be able to cross and Beautide will come across with it and either go to the front or keep Lance in a pocket.
Trigger to lead all the way???
As p plater Bailey mentioned earlier FAR May very well sit on Triggers back and have last crack, based on what we have seen of him in his last 3 races the last 400 will have no human seated at Menangle!
As has been seen in previous 1:50 or less races, if u are in the back half of the field u pretty much have buckleys.
If trigger leads any opposition know he will not give away the lead, so why suicide by tackling for it?
The big question, will Mach Beauty b able to cross Trigger? And then can Lance get out and go around Mach?
Not sure its the best draw for Trigger. I think Mach Beauty may be able to cross and Beautide will come across with it and either go to the front or keep Lance in a pocket.
G'day Ash,Originally Posted by Maorisidol
I wouldn't assume FAR will end up leaders back, pretty sure Trigger leads, but if he gets out like he did Saturday night and assuming there are some challengers for the early lead
in order for FAR to run a mile similar to his recent super efforts I don't see an opening quarter in 26 in his repertoire, which he will need to do to get on the leaders back and hold it.
will be a great contest, bunch of super horses, one of the best fields ever assembled for this fantastic race which is no interdominion, hunter cup or nz cup, but a wonderful event of a different kind.
Smoken Up will be doing everything he can to hold up. I think he could have come out faster last night, came across as if he knew the front was there. He does seem to get off the mobile better drawn out wide tho. Mach Beauty will come out flying trying to cross or at least get in on the fence. I think Beautide can win, will float out than eventually sit parked. The way he went at Newcastle he's hard to beat. Takes until he has fully straightened up for Smoken Up to hit top gear, Beautide may be able to get a little margin on the turn and be too good and if Mach Beauty is infront well Beautide will be too good.
Going to be a great race. Beautide to win , but would love to see Smoken Up win.
If Mach Beauty runs the gate like he did last night, he'll cross easily IMO. He had a couple on them after 50m under a gentle hand drive.
Beautide and For A Reason will fight it out.
1E so he's unlikely to gain a start but Abettorpunt has taken the next step. His run at Newcastle and again last night were enormous. 50's or your money back is enticing.
I got on Beautide and For A Reason early Oct @ 25's & 33's. I'll own a cul de sac in NT if either wins : )
Anyone know when the IForm comes out. Should be interesting this week.
So much egg on face, the form could look like an omelette
Too right Bailey,
professional form students have been taking a bit of a bashing lately, there are none so blind as those that will not see!
In reality it must be a bugger of a job, which would explain that those that have been doing it for a while are a little more cautious about writing off the chances of some, however it would have to have been a very green potato to write off SU, not just on his overall record, but his recent efforts were tough to the max without one skerrick of luck and not getting beaten very far.
Very green Potato indeed!
Why was there no change of tactics for Mach Beauty on Saturday night.
There have been posts in this forum previously about the Excel Stride vs Mach Beauty that talked about we don't hand up coming from the Tritton camp.
Low and behold, Mach Beautty hands up on Saturday and there is not even a mention in the Stewards Report.
I hate the COT rule, but its either a rule or not and in this case has been selectively used.
Perhaps the McCarthy vs Tritton is the reason and Team Tritton have no history with Justice or perhaps they realised that the way the horse was being driven was ridiculous, but if the rule is in why did the stewards not investigate.
You are kidding again German.
Mach Beauty was going to lead on its ear, but Mark Jones made a decision to take a sit.
This horse has been driven to lead at all costs in every start and took a sit even though it could have led.
Was it a smart decision? Absolutely, I doubt Panella would have used the same nouse.
Was it a change in tactic? Absolutely, this horse has never handed up and if you watch the replay you can see Mach Beauty was a mile in front of Smoken Up and Jones eased it for a trail.
Although we know how good a judge you are Marty, For A Reason was no chance to make the Miracle Mile. It was going to be unplaced in its next group start.
He is now second favourite for the race, great call.
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