Reality Check For the McCarthy Paranoia!!!

[candykisses]

Eric did you miss this bit of my post...
"Well in October i lost $1,121.50
In November i lost $1,222.50
in December i WON $1,790"

See December in comparison to Oct/Nov!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Yes he had a great Dec as your individual stats show.
MY STATS, Eric, are based over about 14 weeks starting OCT1st to pretty much yesterday, in fact they dont even include yesterday which was a LM FREE day, so my stats should be watered down even more.
To compare my 14 week stats to your 4 weeks stats is not a true indication of his effect. And so NO i have in no way attempted to make anything look better or worse than what it is. When i started my "attempt to become a millionaire" i didnt know what the stats were going to say, i may have come up $3k in front and if i did i would be pulling my money out today to have a punt, but over 14 or so weeks on MY EXAMPLE they didnt.
Now, i am not a professional punter and i am not doing this to say my example is right by any means, there are millions of combinations anyone could try, mine was 1 out of a million simple as that. I am happy for anyone to show us all how to make money of this winning percentage, please step up, maybe we could all pool our money and all get rich at the same time?
My attempt was to try and appease this seemingly hysteria rippling thru the tracks about LM and that and as young Cassie put it, "not even the Fitzpatricks, Turnbulls etc can compete!"
Well again look at this "LM had horses in 53 races...thats about 19%
That means 81% of NSW races are LM FREE !!!!!!! "

Also people, consider these 2 horses who have helped Lukes stats, Franco Jamar and Buckeye Nation.
I consider Jamar to not really be Lukes horse. He is a NZ horse, trained there and he came to Aus to stay a while...he may come back to Luke but i dont consider he is a long term
entity in Aus, i stand to be corrected but i hope u get where i am coming from, anyway that horse pumped his stats by 7 WINS, take 7 wins away and that is very effective.
Buckeye has won 3 recently and thats because Luke had the foresight to go search and choose a horse he felt could win him races over here from the US. Good luck to him well done for thinkin outside the square, now yes i know this takes money, but surely some other NSW stables could collate some owners and attempt to do the same. There is a great new Menangle track, there is great money now on offer, seriously whats stopping them, put your nuts on the table and have a go!
Combine Jamar and Buck, theres 10 wins. Take out 10? thats a lot...

Hi Ash

I think the whole idea of you doing the statistics is probably a little pointless as I don't think anyone is under any doubt that Luke is NOT dominating the races he contest.
I think that every one on here from his greatest supporter to his most fierce critic agrees on that.
To include all races in NSW in a sample when he only contested 53 of them is a poor system ( why stop at NSW you could have included all of australia and NZ as well to water down his stats) You can only use the races he contest to get a true result of his succes. ( but seem as you used that method here's another way to look at those figures ,he only contested 19% of all races in NSW but won 9% of them" holy crap" as you would say)

As I pointed out in another post to you ,if you have the same wager on every one of his starters even if he wins 6 or 7 out of 10 races you will end up behind because the majority of his winners are short prices , $1.10 or $1.30 etc , so to use your punting theory to try and prove his not really winning that many races is desperate


I note as of today for the month of Jan Luke has had 9 wins from 13 races he has contested including the race his horse got knocked down and ran 4th. about 70%

I think Domination is a reasonable description

I wonder if all the members that congratulated you on your wonderful stat's will show me the same courtesy , I wont hold my breath

CHEERS CASSIE

Stop Press------------ 0 from 3 Today is that a form slump?