Aussiebreno, your equation is pretty good.Where it falls down is the inclusion of Ortensia. You mentioned about never punting again....well this is one horse I will never have any problems with.As I've said before O's always flying at the finish but never gets there.I backed her in the C F Orr Stakes.She sat one out and one back, ran into second halfway up the strait and got passed by Heart Of Dreams and finished third. I know another great champion was in the race,but Typhoon Tracey had been out of sorts for a while.I thought 1400 would have suited her but obviously not.So I'm passing on her in the future.