Is Emma Stewart the first trainer to have a 49% winning strike rate?

[Messenger]

2 seconds at Melton blotted the copy book
but 3/3 at Kilmore tonight keeps the March strike rate
over 70%

[gutwagon]

Always have been suspicious of this trainer.

+1 you're not Robinson Crusoe there !

[Messenger]

With 4/5 winners today the Stewart stable now has a 63% winning strike rate at Maryborough having won 22 of 35 races

http://www.harness.org.au/racing/fie...&fromstate=vic

[Messenger]

That should have been 4/6 at Maryborough
but add 3/4 at Melton
makes 7wins from 10 races contested (and 2 seconds)
= a fair days work

[Messenger]

As stated elsewhere Emma Stewart dominated the Vicbred Super Series heats for 2yo's last night
and looking at the odds for tonights 3yo heats at Kilmore she is extremely likely to dominate again tonight

I would love someone to explain it to me
I know success breeds success (owners will want their horses with her)
Are her facilities superior to everyone elses?

I remember when Peter Manning was dominating 2yo racing for a while
It was pretty much revealed/explained how he was training his horses so much harder than anybody else on his hilly bush track

Why is Emma Stewart making all the other stables look like duds? It is Purdon like

[alphastud]

Hi Kevin,

It's a little rough to say that other trainers are duds however they are getting flogged atm. It's just that Emma Stewart is a phenomena. Her results are way better than any high profile Thoroughbred trainers. They may be the best in the world.

2 things make her even more amazing.

1. her stats are even better when you take into account her multiple runners. And so her winners / races stats are even better than her winners / starters stats.
2. she is consistently outstanding even when her horses compete and win against horses racing on prohibited substances. i.e. cobalt, arsenic, capsaicin trainers etc.

Congrats to Emma Stewart. She's too good.

[Messenger]

I only said 'look like' duds Richard (going for a bit of flair - like a catchy headline )

I have always pointed out that Stewart and Purdon's strike rates are incredible due to stats not allowing for multiple runners
What I am really after is an explanation - what makes her too good?

[alphastud]

Ok, so generally speaking, the factors that affect performance and race outcomes include :

x - nutrition
x - genetics
x - training
x - drugs (legal / illegal / undetectable)
x - supplements (legal / illegal / undetectable)
x - treatments (e.g. shockwave, accu etc. (legal / illegal / undetectable))
x - barrier draws
x - team driving
x - handicapping
x - tracks
x - facilities
x - driver

We know that Emma has top genetics, training, nutrition and drivers. However, other trainers also have top genetics, training, nutrition and drivers.

I don't think that Emma is helped or disadvantaged by barrier draws, team driving, handicapping, facilities or tracks.

So then how much impact can the the following factors have on their own or in combination?

x - drugs (legal / illegal / undetectable)
x - supplements (legal / illegal / undetectable)
x - treatments (e.g. shockwave, accu etc. (legal / illegal / undetectable))

And so your answer might be within these 3 other factors and may be legal, illegal or undetectable.

[Messenger]

Thanks Richard - that is a comprehensive answer

Watching Alford dominate again tonight - he may be worth a couple of %

[Messenger]

After a week of 22 Vicbred Super series heats:

Emma won 16 v Rest of the State 6