Just Believe - Elitloppet 2023

[Theoldfox]

Just Believe's Best MR 1.55.5 converts to 1.11.8 in KmR
These Europeans have KmR of 1.08.8
He will do well to not be distanced on those figures

...but that's not the full picture. he breezed at Menangle when second in 1.52.6 some 6m from the winner. That is significantly faster than a KmR of 1.11.8, its under 1.10 from the breeze. The banking at Solvalla makes cornering fast even though it isn't as big as Menangle, it's like a velodrome. He won't be distanced but the draw is very cruel as he needed all things going his way. Hopefully they go crazy early and he can get past half of them with an economical run and qualify for the final and draw the inside. If they don't go hard early in the heat and he's out the back it's a long trip home to Australia.

[Messenger]

...but that's not the full picture. he breezed at Menangle when second in 1.52.6 some 6m from the winner. That is significantly faster than a KmR of 1.11.8, its under 1.10 from the breeze. The banking at Solvalla makes cornering fast even though it isn't as big as Menangle, it's like a velodrome. He won't be distanced but the draw is very cruel as he needed all things going his way. Hopefully they go crazy early and he can get past half of them with an economical run and qualify for the final and draw the inside. If they don't go hard early in the heat and he's out the back it's a long trip home to Australia.

Yes, very remiss of me TOF, I normally look for fast non wins
1.53 is 1.10.2
That was the run that convinced them to go - it was by far his best time