Roll With Joe
+ Reply to Thread
Page 7 of 7 FirstFirst ... 5 6 7
Results 61 to 66 of 66

Thread: Odds-on favourites stats in Vic

  1. #61
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    8,325
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    2/9, 5/11, 4/8 Cobram

    = 66/132
    The Thin Green Line - Supporting the Rangers who protect the world's endangered animals against poachers

  2. #62
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    8,325
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    5/8, 3/7, 2/8, 7/8, 3/10 Shep

    = 86/173

    So we continue to track at 50% odds on favourites
    The Thin Green Line - Supporting the Rangers who protect the world's endangered animals against poachers

  3. #63
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    8,325
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    4/10, 4/7, 5/7, 4/11, 1/6 Geelong

    = 104/214
    The Thin Green Line - Supporting the Rangers who protect the world's endangered animals against poachers

  4. #64
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    8,325
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    5/10, 2/12, 4/8, 4/7 Cranbourne

    = 119/251

    47.4% coming down a bit

    It wouldn't surprise me that once the system has been in place for about a year and we are no longer using the transition table, then this number will come down (I hope so)
    2yo's and 3yo's do however have the advantage of ratings points above the starting 40 or 50 points is halved when they go up an age
    The Thin Green Line - Supporting the Rangers who protect the world's endangered animals against poachers

  5. #65
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    8,325
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    At various times this thread has illustrated that very often odds on favourites lose

    I found it strange that the HRV bets story this week shows 5 successful big bets ($18k - $60k)
    and yet in the unsuccessful $4k was the biggest ???

    https://www.thetrots.com.au/news/art...60-000-plunge/
    The Thin Green Line - Supporting the Rangers who protect the world's endangered animals against poachers

  6. #66
    Super Moderator Stallion Messenger will become famous soon enough Messenger's Avatar
    Real Name
    Kevin O'Donoghue
    Location
    The Gap
    Occupation
    Retired
    Posts
    8,325
    Horses
    A long, long time ago
    We had an abundance of VERY short favs at Melton tonight

    $1.20 $2.70 $1.30 $1.10 $2.70 $1.04 $1.10

    I was looking at the Vic TAB turnover to see if they affected turnover

    At best I could see that there was around 25% more in the win pools in the two races with the longer odds favourites (although all win pools were small)

    BUT any thought that Long Odds On are bad for betting went out the window in the last where despite Poster Boy being $1.10, the Win, the Place, the Trifecta, the First Four (the one's I look at) were all easily the BIGGEST of the night
    Of course there could be a bit of 'get out in the last' going on BUT still

    http://www.harness.org.au/racing/fie...s/?mc=MX230520

    ps There was $51,192 in the Quaddie pool (and that is after 20% has been taken in commission)
    Maybe heaps of people took Jason Bonnington's $100 suggested in Good Form - he suggested taking the winning combination 50 times (it paid $7.40)
    Last edited by Messenger; 1 Week Ago at 01:22 AM.
    The Thin Green Line - Supporting the Rangers who protect the world's endangered animals against poachers

+ Reply to Thread

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts