Odds-on favourites stats in Vic

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2/9, 5/11, 4/8 Cobram

= 66/132

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5/8, 3/7, 2/8, 7/8, 3/10 Shep

= 86/173

So we continue to track at 50% odds on favourites

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4/10, 4/7, 5/7, 4/11, 1/6 Geelong

= 104/214

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5/10, 2/12, 4/8, 4/7 Cranbourne

= 119/251

47.4% coming down a bit

It wouldn't surprise me that once the system has been in place for about a year and we are no longer using the transition table, then this number will come down (I hope so)
2yo's and 3yo's do however have the advantage of ratings points above the starting 40 or 50 points is halved when they go up an age

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At various times this thread has illustrated that very often odds on favourites lose

I found it strange that the HRV bets story this week shows 5 successful big bets ($18k - $60k)
and yet in the unsuccessful $4k was the biggest ???

https://www.thetrots.com.au/news/art...60-000-plunge/

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We had an abundance of VERY short favs at Melton tonight

$1.20 $2.70 $1.30 $1.10 $2.70 $1.04 $1.10

I was looking at the Vic TAB turnover to see if they affected turnover

At best I could see that there was around 25% more in the win pools in the two races with the longer odds favourites (although all win pools were small)

BUT any thought that Long Odds On are bad for betting went out the window in the last where despite Poster Boy being $1.10, the Win, the Place, the Trifecta, the First Four (the one's I look at) were all easily the BIGGEST of the night
Of course there could be a bit of 'get out in the last' going on BUT still

http://www.harness.org.au/racing/fie...s/?mc=MX230520

ps There was $51,192 in the Quaddie pool (and that is after 20% has been taken in commission)
Maybe heaps of people took Jason Bonnington's $100 suggested in Good Form - he suggested taking the winning combination 50 times (it paid $7.40)