WA
22/1/24 = 74/136 (Pinjarra 4/10 Leaders at the Bell went on to win.
Vic Jan 22 = 86/211 (Maryborough 2/9)
ps No apology required Daniel
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WA
22/1/24 = 74/136 (Pinjarra 4/10 Leaders at the Bell went on to win.
Vic Jan 23 = 91/220 (Melton 5/9)
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WA
23/1/24= 78/145 (GP 4/9)
Almost at 50%!
Vic Jan 24 = 95/231 (Mildura 4/11)
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Vic Jan 25 = 96/241 (Shep 1/10)
WOW that is only 39.8% of leaders winning
I would never have believed it if I had not kept this record
I am wondering whether what seems like a decrease in Stewart runners has contributed to this for it always seemed to me that they were leading and winning
Maybe my perception that our code is leader dominated was wrong but if I could be bothered doing some historic research, I would be surprised if Melton wasn't
Of course this is only 4 weeks of 52 and even with 40% leaders winning, it is still the position you would want - no other position is winning 40% of the time
But if this continues, it makes picking winners much more of a task than just picking leaders
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Vic Jan 26 = 99/249 (Stawell 3/8)
Vic Jan 26 = 102/256 (Cranbourne 3/7)
Last edited by Messenger; 01-26-2024 at 11:58 PM.
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WA
26/1/24 = 84/154 (GP 6/9 Leaders at the Bell went on to win)
26/1/24 = 91/162 (Albany 7/8 Leaders at the Bell went on to win)
Currently at 56%. Slightly similar thoughts to Kevin’s comments re lower than expected numbers of leaders winning. Vics have much lower percentages than WA though. At the end of the month I will compile the figures for GP which should be interesting.
Another stat:
The average number of runners in FFA races at GP in 2023 was 7.8. May and June had the lowest number of starters ie May had 16 starters in 3 races and June had 17 starters in 4 races.
Over the course of the year 10/47 FFA races had 5 or less starters. The lowest number was 3 and this occurred in June. In 2023 there were two Pacing Cups so this may have affected the figures. I also did not include the Nullabor as there were only 8 horses who could get a start as opposed to 12 in all others.
Vic Jan 27 = 105/265 (Melton 3/9)
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