Odds On Favourites under the VIC tiered system 2016-17

[Messenger]

The tiered system is supposed to reduce the number of odds on favs and therefore I have started a db of how many we have this season and I will update it regularly here.
In the db I am including at what track, who trained them, the type and value of the race and whether they were winners. I will report any patterns that emerge

I would like to see whether turnover is really hurt by odds on favs but I am not keen enough to keep 2 dbs going (maybe next yr)

[Messenger]

So far we have had 46 races this season with 20 Odds On favs and 14 successful
That is 43% of races with an Odds On fav
70% of Odds On favs winning (better than the last time I kept tabs on them)
Early Days!

[Mark Croatto]

Hi Kevin

Look forward to seeing the results

Regards

Mark

[Messenger]

Only 1 Odds On at Mildura last night and that was $1.90.
So far this season Mildura have had 14 races for only 3 odds on favs

http://www.harness.org.au/meeting-re...L080916&ms=vic

[Messenger]

8 out of 11 races at Bendigo tonight had Odds On favs. Admittedly there were six 3yo races that could not be considered Tiered racing - they contributed 4 of the Odds On pops but 4 came from the 5 C class races

http://www.harness.org.au/meeting-re...ic#BNC09091610

[Messenger]

First 100 races down and let's hope the figures improve as so far we have had 46 Odds On favs (63% successful)

[Amlin]

From today's Herald Sun

[Messenger]

WHAT !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Did we used to have more than 46% of races with Odds On Favs ????????

[Toohard]

Haven't been following much but have seen couple horses go around odds on in 5k races that probably shouldn't have been (and get beat). Take a while for it all to 'settle down'.

Looking at the 5k races last night.

$2 fav won by an $8 chance
$2 fav won by a $9.10 chance
$2.90 fav won by a $49.70 chance
$2.70 fav won by a $16.30 chance
$2.90 fav won ($2.90 fav in field of 6)

Horsham day before

$1.50 fav won by $20.80 chance
$2.30 fav won by $14.90 chance

Certainly value there that probably wouldn't have been before.

[Messenger]

I have it on good authority that last season we had 44% of favourites Odds On so that is our point of reference