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Thread: Just a gripe about the randomness of RBD!

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  1. #1
    Senior Member 3YO strong persuader has a spectacular aura about strong persuader's Avatar
    Real Name
    Phil Bourke
    Location
    Blayney, NSW, Australia
    Posts
    215

    Just a gripe about the randomness of RBD!

    It nearly is enough to make you pull your hair out! That is the only option I have as I turned grey many years ago

    Here is the bare facts. We have had two horse race in the last 12 months. The first had three starts only before physical problems prevented him from starting again.

    In his three starts his barrier draws were as follows;
    Drew 10, started SR4
    10/SR2
    8/SR1

    Our next horse has fared even worse!
    Drew 3, started FR3
    9/SR3
    9/SR2
    6/FR5
    5/FR5
    6/FR6
    6/FR6
    2/FR2
    6/FR4

    And in his next planned start this Sat, drew 10 should start SR3.

    Amongst those starts were one where the draw was PD$L6 and one that was PD/SEX but I couldn't recall exactly which two. But if my memory is any good at all, he drew 5 in the PD/SEX and 6 in the other.

    That leaves 11 starts where we could have drawn any barrier and my thoughts are that we should be a 40% chance of drawing barriers 1-4.

    So are we due for a spate of good draws? I certainly hope so because it is getting to the point of frustrating to say the least.
    Last edited by strong persuader; 03-29-2012 at 12:42 PM. Reason: added a bit
    Warning: Horses are expensive, addictive, and may impair the ability to use common sense.

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