Quote Originally Posted by Messenger View Post
I am not suggesting anything is likely to be the perfect system but I think it might share the draws around

Take R3 at Geelong tonight
and lets pretend that the previous starts numbers next to each horses name
are actually their previous barrier draws (I am doing this so that I can be lazy and just put up this snip)

We will total the last 4 supposed barrier draws for each runner

So their barriers have been and the totals are
1 - 4,8,6,9 = 27
2 - 5,1,8,7 = 21
3 - 5,3,3,3 = 14
4 - 1,4,3,5 = 13
5 - 9,4,10,6 = 29
6 - 9,5,1,10 =25
7 - 9,7,4,5 = 25
8 - 4,4,2,2 = 10
9 - 8,6,4,6 = 24
10 - 2,2,4,6 =14

So worst total under this system should have got barrier 1 down to lowest total copping barrier 10 - see new Red numbers on Snip
The biggest problem I see it having is that the longer it is in place, the more horses will have pretty much the same totals (and splitting according to their last barrier will be used)
You are also assuming 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10 is the order of the best draws. SR2 and even SR1 is better than FR6 and FR7 at many tracks and also depending on your horses gate speed.

In those horses last four I would have no doubt some of them were PBD races. If you go in a PBD and draw 1 why be disadvantaged next start in a RBD under an evening up system.

Quote Originally Posted by Messenger View Post
Next start on Tuesday does not look like the smartest placement - why take on C4's and C5's now

https://www.harness.org.au/fields.cf...2520LOVE&f=1#7
So he draws close to the inside and can just roll to front and run another sub 1.53. The trainers of the higher assessed horses would be ruing their bad luck with the placement of their horses that they give away the barrier draw to a horse they won't get near.