2017 Interdominion

[arlington]

(1) Tiger Tara (NSW)
(2) Lazarus (New Zealand)
(3) Vultan Tin (WA)
(4) Soho Tribeca (WA)
(5) Galactic Star (NSW)
(6) Lennytheshark (VIC)
(7) San Carlo (VIC)
(8) Shandale (WA)
(9) Have Faith In Me (New Zealand)
(10) Chicago Bull (WA)
Emergency 1 - Ohoka Punter (WA)
Emergency 2 - Devendra (TAS)
Emergency 3 - Major Croker (VIC)
Emergency 4 - The Bucket List (WA)

[aussiebreno]

Lazarus wins unless someone cruels their own chances.

I wouldn't imagine anything crossing Tiger at the start. More chance of Tiger galloping than being crossed.

Which leaves these scenarios:

Probable: Tiger leads and hands up to Lazarus. Lazarus wins unless Tribeca or something comes on suicide mission.
Highly probable: Tiger leads and parks Lazarus. Lazarus wins unless Purdon is overzealous in wanting the lead or Tribeca or something comes on suicide mission.
Possible: Tiger leads. Lazarus crossed at start. Lazarus works to death and wins unless Tribeca or something on suicide mission.
Unlikely: Tiger leads. Lazarus crossed at start. Purdon stays in running line. Opens the race up a little bit. Tigers to lose.

Can't see anyone going on a suicide mission or Purdon putting in a bad drive so Lazarus just wins. Only way he could get beat on merit is if everything goes right for the Bull and he can outsprint him late - but even if everything did go right Lazarus probably still too good.

I'll change my top picks slightly from page 1 of this thread to include Tiger as a place chance.

$2.10 Lazarus looks juicy. $5.50 Tribeca a bit skinny. Probably couldn't take the $4 Tiger either. Probably won't place but Have Faith In Me must be a touch overs $5 solely on last weeks run - last 12-18 months been ordinary.

[Messenger]

Enlighten me.

I think you will find that Pat already has Brendan when he said 'backed up with a commentary on why'
Infatuation generally refers to 'unreasoned' passion

ps I like your scenarios exploration in post 88

[Messenger]

Lazarus wins unless someone cruels their own chances.

I wouldn't imagine anything crossing Tiger at the start. More chance of Tiger galloping than being crossed.

Which leaves these scenarios:

Probable: Tiger leads and hands up to Lazarus. Lazarus wins unless Tribeca or something comes on suicide mission.
Highly probable: Tiger leads and parks Lazarus. Lazarus wins unless Purdon is overzealous in wanting the lead or Tribeca or something comes on suicide mission.
Possible: Tiger leads. Lazarus crossed at start. Lazarus works to death and wins unless Tribeca or something on suicide mission.
Unlikely: Tiger leads. Lazarus crossed at start. Purdon stays in running line. Opens the race up a little bit. Tigers to lose.

Can't see anyone going on a suicide mission or Purdon putting in a bad drive so Lazarus just wins. Only way he could get beat on merit is if everything goes right for the Bull and he can outsprint him late - but even if everything did go right Lazarus probably still too good.

I'll change my top picks slightly from page 1 of this thread to include Tiger as a place chance.

$2.10 Lazarus looks juicy. $5.50 Tribeca a bit skinny. Probably couldn't take the $4 Tiger either. Probably won't place but Have Faith In Me must be a touch overs $5 solely on last weeks run - last 12-18 months been ordinary.

Does the little Bull stay on Tiger's back?

[Fan of Jate]

How perfect that worked out for Lazarus, we could'nt even give him the carpark.......absolutely brilliant draw. I can hear Purdon and co laughing loudly. The horses who drew 1-5 will be eternally grateful they are in that position to start the race. 6-10 will be chasing tail for 3k. Not sure if Lenny or the bull can run them down. This is the strongest field of the last three Inters.

[aussiebreno]

Does the little Bull stay on Tiger's back?

I think so. Worst case 3rd horse on the fence (unless Hall has other plans I cant see Vultan Tin being able to drop in). The way Lazarus will run them along the gaps should come. Otherwise he will be 2nd horse on the fence and will be within striking distance.

[Messenger]

Seeing as though Lazarus is poised to become Bettor's richest offspring

http://www.harnesslink.com/News/Laza...hest-offspring

and he is a stallion. I thought I would take a look at his family to see if it had produced any sires of note.
Lazarus will have to be a trailblazer in that respect for family U307

http://classicfamilies.net/cf/Family...meGroup&AD=ASC

Apart from Stars and Stripes the other noted performer that caught my eye was trotter Melpark Maid
She was a star for Don Smith

http://classicfamilies.net/CF/Histor...ntClass&AD=ASC

Her relationship to Lazarus is distant as his 9th dam is her 7th
There is another prospective star in U307 who is closely related to her however =
Cruisin Around whose 4th dam is Melpark's 2nd
We will have to see if he can add to his stellar 3yo season

[Showgrounds]

Some pretty good trotters in Laz's family when you go through it Kev. Always liked families with plenty of trotting blood in the distant pedigree, when a good pacer comes along they are usually pretty tough. And Lazarus is REALLY tough!

[KTQ]

Dad has Cruisin Arounds little brother. Not sure he's as good but he goes ok. Surprised to hear he's distantly related to Laz. Thanks for the heads up Kev

[Messenger]

Interesting read/insight from 3 of the key drivers

http://www.harness.org.au/media-room...?news_id=35658