Odds-on favourites stats in Vic

[Messenger]

There can be no greater mugs than harness punters
Have you ever seen 3 odds-on favourites in 3 consecutive races go around at the gallops at
$1.10, $1.30, $1.60
MUCH LESS GET BEAT
It is not that unusual at the trots - Stawell today

http://www.harness.org.au/racing/fie...s/?mc=SW250621

[Messenger]

$1.04 favourite and beaten a nose

http://www.harness.org.au/racing/fie...21#HMC21072104

His check and early gallop cost him the race - who do you blame? Driver Sofia for not seeing what was going on or Anthony O'Connor for one second being ¾ across to the lead and then the next second taking a hard hold to try and drop in

There was so much plonked on the favourite that the 2nd favourite (winner) was $25

[Showgrounds]

Hmm. Third start in 2 years, first up for 13 months and its only win was at Rangiora which caters for horses that, mainly, struggle to make the grade.

How on earth did this next Village Kid (not!) Start $1.04? Who would put so much money on it? Honest questions to which I have no answers. Feel free to explain.

[Messenger]

So what does everyone think? Is the new ratings system reducing the number of odds on favourites?

[Messenger]

I haven't really been thinking about the Odds On issue for some time
If today's Cobram meet is anything to go by, we are doing well
Only 2/10 Odds On favs
And it took until the last for a favourite to get up
Average winning price for the meet was $11.50

https://www.harness.org.au/racing/fi...s/?mc=CO120522

[Messenger]

There must be figures available that tell us if the new NR system is reducing Odds On pops
One could not help but notice that at Ballarat tonight 6/10 were odds on
The Stewart stable contributed most of these, namely $1.18 $1.25 $1.40 $1.50

https://www.harness.org.au/racing/fi...s/?mc=BA230622

[Messenger]

I wonder what became of the aim to reduce Odds On favourites

The Vicbreds cannot be doing much for the stats or Turnover
Tonight 6 Vicbred heats with a favourite of $1.40 or shorter

4 of them were from the Stewart stable - actually there are not many 'age' races with a Stewart runner, that do not have an Odds On favourite

5 of tonights 6 won

I could not have a bar of Longfellow being Odds On ($1.35!) but it is pretty hard to back a stablemate to beat him

https://www.harness.org.au/racing/fi...22#MXC16122207

[aussiebreno]

I wonder what became of the aim to reduce Odds On favourites

The Vicbreds cannot be doing much for the stats or Turnover
Tonight 6 Vicbred heats with a favourite of $1.40 or shorter

4 of them were from the Stewart stable - actually there are not many 'age' races with a Stewart runner, that do not have an Odds On favourite

5 of tonights 6 won

I could not have a bar of Longfellow being Odds On ($1.35!) but it is pretty hard to back a stablemate to beat him

https://www.harness.org.au/racing/fi...22#MXC16122207

In this type of racing there is no handicapping system to remove odds on favourites. Which is the way it should be in top grade racing.

Great to see Jodi Quinlan learn how to stagger sectionals.....